By linearity of expectation , the average equals the sum of each guild's chance of appearing at least once among the ten revealed cards: with 6 cards a guild has a 48.1% chance to show up, and 10 48.1% = 4.81
You get to bounce a nonland permanent while also playing a pretty strong creature, especially if your opponents have no flyers in play
The harder cards to justify playing are the less obvious answers
Siege Rhino is known for its all round power and value
Because whether I had won or lost there, I turned a three mana spell into 272 power, albeit with the help of a couple of powerful enchantments
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